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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 12/29/2022

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+114/-146).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +132 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has attempted 8.1 3-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Luka Doncic has made 3.5 three-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season.

Luka Doncic has averaged 36.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 100th percentile.

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to three-point attempts.

The Mavericks have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the NBA since the start of last season, which ought to boost opportunities for the Rockets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has been called for 3.3 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The matchup vs. the Rockets is a hard one for three-pointers; without the home court advantage, the other team have put up the 8th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (37.4%).

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.

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