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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Assists
Player Prop - 3/19/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets

Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has tallied 11.6 assists per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.4 more than he's tallied over the course of the season at home.

Luka Doncic has tallied 35.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 96th percentile.

The Lakers are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from being pitted against the 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Luka Doncic is expected to see a rise in productivity in all stat categories on account of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (93rd percentile).

The 7th-slowest pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.

The Lakers check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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