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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Assists
Player Prop - 3/17/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs San Antonio Spurs

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-160/+124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has tallied 9.8 assists per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year at home.
  • Luka Doncic has averaged 35.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 96th percentile.
  • The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to raise plays for the Lakers.
  • Luka Doncic will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to raise player performance across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (94th percentile).
  • The 3rd-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Lakers.
  • The Lakers rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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