Luka Doncic Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/13/2025

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 13, 2025

Updated Mar 13, 2025 11:24 PM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic comes in at the 95th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 35.0 minutes per game this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers will likely get a boost in plays in this game from facing the 5th-fastest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Bucks).

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has posted a measly 7.9 assists per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 9.4 assists per game last year.
Luka Doncic has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Lakers have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA while playing away from home with only 8.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Luka Doncic should experience a decrease in performance across the board on account of being on the road in this contest.

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