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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Assists
Player Prop - 2/27/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic registers in the 93rd percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 33.4 minutes per game at home since the start of last season.

The 10th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.

The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from competing against the 10th-speediest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

Luka Doncic will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to boost player performance in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has averaged a mere 7.7 assists per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 9.4 assists per game last season.

Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic lands in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 2.7 fouls per game this year.

The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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