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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Assists
Player Prop - 12/25/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-139/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -139.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has averaged 34.8 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
  • The 6th-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 9th-best in in the NBA at home with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
  • Luka Doncic will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to boost player performance in all facets of the game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has tallied a measly 8.1 assists per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 9.4 assists per game last year.
  • Luka Doncic has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league (91st percentile).
  • The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.

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