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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Assists
Player Prop - 12/23/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-160/+116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic places in the 95th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 35.3 minutes per game while on his home court this year.
  • The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Mavericks.
  • The Mavericks check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Luka Doncic will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to boost player performance in all stat categories.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has posted a mere 8.2 assists per game this year, significantly less than his 9.4 assists per game last year.
  • Luka Doncic has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (92nd percentile).
  • The Dallas Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from sharing the court with the most sluggish pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).

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