Luka Doncic Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/7/2024

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 7, 2024

Updated Dec 8, 2024 12:19 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has tallied 8.4 assists per game on the road this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- among the league's best by this metric.
Luka Doncic has averaged 36.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 98th percentile.
The 5th-speediest pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Mavericks are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 6th-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Toronto Raptors).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 5th-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Luka Doncic figures to suffer a reduction in performance in all facets of the game considering being on the road in this game.

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