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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Assists
Player Prop - 10/29/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has put up 9.3 assists per game since the start of last season, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 100th percentile.

Luka Doncic has averaged 38.2 minutes per game since the start of last season, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 100th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Mavericks are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from sharing the court with the 4th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA since the start of last season (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Luka Doncic is expected to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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