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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Assists
Player Prop - 3/1/2024

Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has posted a whopping 9.7 assists per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 8.0 assists per game last season.

Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic rates in the 99th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 37.2 minutes per game on the road this year.

The 4th-quickest pace-of-play road team in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone when it comes to technicals.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 2ndworst in in the league while playing away from home with just 7.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Over the last 15 games when they are on the road, opposing clubs have collected 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Celtics (saving possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense).

Luka Doncic stands to suffer a drop-off in performance in all facets of the game in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

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