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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Assists
Player Prop - 2/28/2024

Toronto Raptors vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has totaled a terrific 9.6 assists per game this year, quite a bit more than his 8.0 assists per game last year.

Luka Doncic has been on the court for 37.2 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The 6th-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the league this year has been the Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks will likely get a boost in possessions today from competing against the 3rd-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Raptors).

Over the last 25 games when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has captured 10.0 offensive boards per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) against the Raptors (minimizing possessions that could otherwise generate more chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.

The Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Luka Doncic stands to suffer a reduction in productivity in all stat categories considering being on the road in this contest.

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