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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Assists
Player Prop - 2/27/2024

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-140/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has tallied an impressive 9.5 assists per game this season, quite a bit more than his 8.0 assists per game last season.
  • Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic registers in the 99th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 37.0 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.
  • The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • Over the last 20 games when they are away from home, opposing squads have captured 8.8 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Cavaliers (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce extra opportunities for offense).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
  • The Cavaliers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Mavericks.
  • Offensive rebounds continue possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 3rdworst in in the league with only 9.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
  • Luka Doncic will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease stat production across the board.

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