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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Assists
Player Prop - 2/10/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has posted a whopping 9.5 assists per game this season, significantly more than his 8.0 assists per game last season.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic slots into the 100th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 37.7 minutes per game this year.
  • Luka Doncic will likely get a boost in performance in all stat categories on account of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.5 higher than he's committed overall this year at home.
  • The 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks.
  • The Thunder have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 2ndworst in in the league with only 7.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
  • The Thunder have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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