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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Assists
Player Prop - 2/8/2024

New York Knicks vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-122/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has posted a whopping 9.4 assists per game this year, quite a bit more than his 8.0 assists per game last year.
  • Luka Doncic has averaged 37.1 minutes per game away from home this year, putting him in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games while on the road.
  • This year, opposing teams have nabbed 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Knicks (losing possessions that could otherwise produce added opportunities for offense).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's accumulated overall this season.
  • The Knicks have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which should reduce possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
  • Luka Doncic will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to reduce player production across the board.

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