Luka Doncic Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2024

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks · Feb 3, 2024

Updated Feb 4, 2024 1:33 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-124/-107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has tallied a whopping 9.6 assists per game this year, a big improvement over his 8.0 assists per game last year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic lands in the 100th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 37.5 minutes per game this year.
The 8th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Mavericks will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the fastest tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Bucks).
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.9 higher than he's tallied overall this year at home.

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