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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Assists
Player Prop - 1/17/2024

Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has totaled a terrific 9.2 assists per game this year, significantly more than his 8.0 assists per game last year.

Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic lands in the 98th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 36.4 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.

The speediest pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The Lakers have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Mavericks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 9thworst in in the NBA as the visting team with just 9.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have brought down 11.4 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers (lengthening possessions that can generate additional chances for offense).

Luka Doncic should suffer a drop-off in effectiveness across the board as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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