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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Assists
Player Prop - 1/3/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers

Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has posted a whopping 9.4 assists per game this season, a significant increase from his 8.0 assists per game last season.

Luka Doncic has tallied 36.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 99th percentile.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Luka Doncic will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally boosts stat production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (99th percentile).

The Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from facing the 5th-most sluggish pace visiting team in the league over the last 5 games (the Trail Blazers).

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Away from home, the Portland Trail Blazers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.1) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

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