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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Assists
Player Prop - 12/23/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs

Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has averaged 10.4 assists per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 100th percentile -- among the best in the league by this standard.

Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic measures in the 99th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 36.9 minutes per game this year.

The Mavericks will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Spurs).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks grade out 10thbest in in the league with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Away from their home court, the Spurs have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (8.9) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic measures in the 99th percentile for technical fouls, compiling a whopping 0.3 fouls per game this year.

The 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 9 games has been the Mavericks.

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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