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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Assists
Player Prop - 12/14/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has compiled an impressive 10.2 assists per game this year, significantly higher than his 7.8 assists per game last year.

Luka Doncic has played 36.1 minutes per game on the road this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 9thbest in in the league with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

On the road, the Minnesota Timberwolves have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic places in the 99th percentile for technical fouls, totaling a monstrous 0.3 fouls per game playing at home this year.

The Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves).

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