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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Assists
Player Prop - 12/12/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has tallied 10.8 assists per game over the last 5 games away from home, 2.3 more than he's tallied in all games this season on the road.
  • Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic rates in the 98th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 35.8 minutes per game this year.
  • The 7th-speediest pace team in the league this year has been the Mavericks.
  • The Mavericks will likely see an increase in plays in this game from facing the 5th-fastest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Lakers).
  • Luka Doncic ought to see a rise in productivity for all stats in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has accumulated 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.2 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year on the road.
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 10thworst in in the NBA with a mere 10.4 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
  • The Lakers have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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