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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Assists
Player Prop - 11/28/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets

Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has tallied 7.8 assists per game at home this year, ranking in the 99th percentile -- one of the best in the league in this category.

Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic places in the 94th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 34.7 minutes per game while playing on the road this year.

Luka Doncic has averaged just 1.8 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 2.5 fouls per game last year.

The 6th-speediest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The Houston Rockets have given up the 10th-least offensive boards per game (10.6) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most lethargic tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Rockets).

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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