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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Assists
Player Prop - 11/25/2023

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has totaled 8.1 assists per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this metric.

Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic comes in at the 89th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 33.9 minutes per game this year.

In comparison to last season's 2.5 rate, Luka Doncic's personal fouls per game have fallen this season to 1.6.

The 4th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Mavericks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have collected 11.8 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the LA Clippers (lengthening possessions that can lead to further chances for offense).

Luka Doncic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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