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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Assists
Player Prop - 11/22/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has put up 8.1 assists per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric.
  • Luka Doncic has tallied 33.4 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home.
  • The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the speediest tempo road offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (80th percentile).
  • The Mavericks check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Lakers have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Luka Doncic will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to lower player production in all facets of the game.

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