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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Assists
Player Prop - 11/3/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has put up 8.1 assists per game when playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this standard.
  • Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic measures in the 99th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 35.9 minutes per game away from his home court since the start of last season.
  • Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, the other team has secured 9.9 offensive boards per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets (diminishing possessions that could otherwise produce added opportunities for offense).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic slots into the 99th percentile for technical fouls, averaging a massive 0.2 fouls per game when playing away from home since the start of last season.
  • The {OPP_TEAM} will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 7th-most lethargic pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the NBA when playing on the road with a mere 7.7 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
  • Luka Doncic is expected to experience a decrease in effectiveness for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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