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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Assists
Player Prop - 11/3/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has put up 8.1 assists per game when playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this standard.

Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic measures in the 99th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 35.9 minutes per game away from his home court since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, the other team has secured 9.9 offensive boards per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets (diminishing possessions that could otherwise produce added opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic slots into the 99th percentile for technical fouls, averaging a massive 0.2 fouls per game when playing away from home since the start of last season.

The {OPP_TEAM} will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 7th-most lethargic pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the NBA when playing on the road with a mere 7.7 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

Luka Doncic is expected to experience a decrease in effectiveness for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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