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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Assists
Player Prop - 11/1/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Chicago Bulls

Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has tallied 8.1 assists per game on the road since the start of last season, putting him in the 99th percentile -- among the league's best by this metric.

Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic slots into the 96th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 35.3 minutes per game at home since the start of last season.

Away from their home court, the Chicago Bulls have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the league to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Luka Doncic will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to increases stat production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the league since the start of last season.

The Mavericks are expected to see a decline in possessions in this game from competing against the 3rd-most sluggish tempo road team in the NBA this year (the Bulls).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 1stworst in in the league with only 7.7 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

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