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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Assists
Player Prop - 3/22/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors

Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-138/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -138.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has posted 8.0 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 99th percentile.

Luka Doncic has played 35.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 98th percentile.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home.

The Warriors have played at the speediest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Mavericks.

Luka Doncic will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts player performance in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (84th percentile).

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

The Warriors have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (14.0) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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