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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Assists
Player Prop - 3/8/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-140/+114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +116 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has compiled 8.3 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 99th percentile.

Luka Doncic has been on the court for 35.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 97th percentile.

The Pelicans have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone when it comes to technicals.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Luka Doncic will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally worsens player production for all stats.

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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