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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Assists
Player Prop - 3/7/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz

Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has posted 8.3 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 99th percentile.

Luka Doncic has tallied 35.0 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.

The Jazz have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (5.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Luka Doncic will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually increases player performance in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.9 more than he's accumulated overall this year at home.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The Jazz have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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