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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Assists
Player Prop - 2/15/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-165/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has put up 8.1 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 99th percentile.

Luka Doncic has played 36.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 99th percentile.

The Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Mavericks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA while playing away from home this year.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Luka Doncic will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases player production in all stat categories.

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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