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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Assists
Player Prop - 1/20/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat

Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has compiled 8.8 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 99th percentile.

Luka Doncic has averaged 36.1 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.

The Heat have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to their opposition this year (which can also provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Luka Doncic will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally improves stat production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has been called for 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (91st percentile).

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league this year.

The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should decrease possessions for the Heat.

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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