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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Assists
Player Prop - 1/12/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has averaged 8.8 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the NBA's leaders in this category recently: 99th percentile.
  • Luka Doncic has averaged 36.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 100th percentile.
  • The Mavericks have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to raise plays for the Lakers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game away from home this year, putting him in the 75th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
  • The Lakers have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league when playing away from home this year.
  • Luka Doncic will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually reduces player performance in all stat categories.

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