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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Assists
Player Prop - 12/29/2022

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+112/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -138.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has averaged 8.6 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the league's best by this standard in recent days: 99th percentile.
  • Luka Doncic has averaged 36.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 100th percentile.
  • The Mavericks have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the NBA since the start of last season, which ought to boost opportunities for the Rockets.
  • Away from home, the Rockets have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the league to their opposition this year (which can also lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Luka Doncic will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raises player performance across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has been called for 3.3 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
  • The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.

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