Luguentz Dort Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2025

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz · Jan 22, 2025

Updated Jan 23, 2025 12:44 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has totaled 1.2 offensive boards per game this year at home, putting him among the league leaders by this standard over this stretch of games: 75th percentile.
Luguentz Dort has tallied 29.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 75th percentile.
The 7th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Thunder will likely see a spike in opportunities today from facing the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play road team in the NBA this year (the Utah Jazz).
Luguentz Dort figures to see a rise in effectiveness across the board considering having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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