Luguentz Dort Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2025

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Washington Wizards vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 12, 2025

Updated Jan 12, 2025 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has averaged 1.6 offensive rebounds per game this year on the road, putting him among the NBA's leaders by this standard over this stretch: 84th percentile.
The 6th-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the league this year has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games in their home city, which ought to boost opportunities for the Thunder.

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has accumulated 4.3 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games when playing on the road, 0.8 more than he's accumulated overall this year on the road.
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Luguentz Dort should suffer a drop-off in effectiveness across the board considering playing away from home in this matchup.

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