Luguentz Dort Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2024

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 29, 2024

Updated Mar 29, 2024 11:57 PM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Thunder have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Phoenix Suns).
Luguentz Dort will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally increases player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has averaged just 1.0 offensive rebounds per game this year, quite a bit less than his 1.8 offensive rebounds per game last year.
Luguentz Dort has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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