Luguentz Dort Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/29/2024

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 29, 2024

Updated Mar 1, 2024 12:32 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +114 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 4th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a rise in possessions today from being pitted against the 3rd-fastest tempo team in the league this year (the Spurs).

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has put up a mere 1.1 offensive rebounds per game this season, significantly less than his 1.8 offensive rebounds per game last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort comes in at the 97th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a colossal 3.0 fouls per game this year.
The Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
While at home, the San Antonio Spurs have allowed the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Luguentz Dort will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens player performance in all stat categories.

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