Luguentz Dort Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 1:03 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+106/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +116 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has averaged 1.2 offensive boards per game this year at home, ranking him among the best in the NBA by this metric in recent days: 75th percentile.
Over the last 10 games, opposing clubs have brought down 8.2 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves (shortening possessions that could otherwise bring about further chances for offense).
Luguentz Dort will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improve player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Thunder.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game this year.

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