Luguentz Dort Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2024

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

LA Clippers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 16, 2024

Updated Jan 17, 2024 3:06 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has put up 1.3 offensive boards per game this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders in this category in recent days.
The 6th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, the other team has captured 7.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the LA Clippers (turning over possessions that could otherwise bring about added chances for offense).

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (96th percentile).
The Thunder will likely experience a decrease in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the LA Clippers).
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Luguentz Dort stands to experience a decrease in performance across the board on account of being on the road in this matchup.

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