Luguentz Dort Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2024

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 11, 2024

Updated Jan 12, 2024 1:17 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has tallied 2.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's tallied overall this season.
The 7th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the league this year has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which should lead to more plays for the Thunder.
Luguentz Dort figures to see a rise in productivity in all stat categories on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Luguentz Dort rates in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 2.9 fouls per game while playing at home this year.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 20 games when they are playing at home, the other team has grabbed 12.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (continuing possessions that can generate extra chances for offense).

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