Luguentz Dort Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2023

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs New York Knicks · Dec 27, 2023

Updated Dec 28, 2023 1:16 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-111/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has posted 1.2 offensive boards per game this year at home, placing him among the league leaders by this metric recently: 75th percentile.
The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while at home.
The New York Knicks have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
While on the road, the Knicks have allowed the 5th-least offensive boards per game (9.7) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Luguentz Dort should see a rise in effectiveness in all stat categories considering enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Luguentz Dort registers in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 2.8 fouls per game on his home court this year.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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