Luguentz Dort Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2023

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 26, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 1:12 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has compiled 1.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.5 more than he's compiled in all games this season at home.
The Thunder have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 15 games playing at home.
Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have grabbed 8.9 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense).
Luguentz Dort will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually raises stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 87th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Thunder will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-slowest tempo road team in the league over the last 10 games (the Timberwolves).
The Thunder rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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