Luguentz Dort Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2023

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 18, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has put up 2.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's put up over the course of the season.
The 6th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA while traveling this year, which ought to raise possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Memphis Grizzlies have given up the 8th-least offensive boards per game (10.4) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Luguentz Dort will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raise player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Luguentz Dort slots into the 89th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.9 fouls per game on his home court this year.
The Thunder check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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