Luguentz Dort Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 2:25 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+130/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has posted 2.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's posted overall this year.
The Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Thunder will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.5 offensive boards per game this year.
The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 5th-most offensive boards per game (13.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Luguentz Dort will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

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