Luguentz Dort Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2023

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs · Nov 14, 2023

Updated Nov 15, 2023 12:29 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has averaged 1.4 offensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 81st percentile.
The Thunder have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 4th-speediest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Spurs).
On their home court, the Spurs have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (8.4) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Luguentz Dort will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage generally boosts player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 0.0 clip, Luguentz Dort's technical fouls have risen this year to 0.1 per game.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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