Luguentz Dort Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2023

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 10, 2023

Updated Nov 11, 2023 1:48 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has posted 2.0 offensive boards per game while on the road since the start of last season, putting him in the 90th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this standard.
Luguentz Dort has tallied 30.1 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The 2nd-most up-tempo pace road team in the league this year has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from squaring off against the 7th-fastest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Kings).
Since the start of last season when they are on the road, their opposition has grabbed 9.8 offensive boards per game (5th-fewest in the league) vs. the Kings (losing possessions that could otherwise result in more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Luguentz Dort slots into the 84th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a whopping 2.6 fouls per game when playing at home this year.
The Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Luguentz Dort is expected to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness across the board due to being on the road in this contest.

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