Luguentz Dort Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 5, 2023 2:03 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -149.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has averaged 3.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's averaged overall this year.
Luguentz Dort has averaged 34.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Warriors have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (98th percentile).
The Warriors have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Luguentz Dort will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually worsens stat production across the board.

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