Luguentz Dort Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2023

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 12, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 10:22 PM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has posted 1.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games, 0.5 higher than he's posted overall this year.
Luguentz Dort has played 32.1 minutes per game on the road this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Spurs have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has accumulated 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (95th percentile).
The Spurs have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Luguentz Dort will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally lowers player performance for all stats.

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