Luguentz Dort Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2023

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 11, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 1:35 AM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has posted 1.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games, 0.5 higher than he's posted in all games this year.
Luguentz Dort has averaged 32.1 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
The Pelicans have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has been called for 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (95th percentile).
The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Thunder.
Luguentz Dort will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually decreases stat production for all stats.

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