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Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-111).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -111.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Luguentz Dort has converted 3.5 shots from downtown per game over the last 15 games at home, 0.6 more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year with the home court advantage.Luguentz Dort has tallied 28.6 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.When it comes to shooting, the Thunder's excellent 121.5 points per game settles in as the most in the league over the last 25 games.This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 2.6 threes per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, branding this as a strong matchup.The 4th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder.Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 10thworst in in the league while playing at home with a mere 10.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.Luguentz Dort has attempted a measly 0.7 free throws per game this season, significantly less than his 2.0 mark last season.Over the last 20 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.
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