Luguentz Dort Points - Player Prop Bet 5/15/2025

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Luguentz Dort

NBA · Player Props

Luguentz Dort

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 15, 2025

Updated May 15, 2025 11:48 PM EST

Analysis

Luguentz Dort Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-113/-113).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luguentz Dort has attempted 8.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
Out of all players in the league, Luguentz Dort comes in at the 78th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 29.2 minutes per game this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have notched 20.4 points per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Nuggets, resulting in a good matchup for offensive performance.
The 4th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Thunder rank 2nd-best in in the league away from their home court with 14.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Luguentz Dort has failed to make 6.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's missed overall this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort slots into the 98th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 3.0 fouls per game this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).
As a team, the Thunder have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls: 8th-worst in the NBA this year, tallying a lowly 21.0 free throws per game.
Luguentz Dort will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

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